Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 46.672807 53.762821 61.120656 69.291745 78.078367 87.211286 97.390334
2025-04-20 37.808741 48.044461 59.244044 72.263245 86.844663 102.548104 120.616894
2025-04-27 32.137676 44.062018 57.636052 73.932941 92.690961 113.358550 137.613177
2025-05-04 26.750156 39.555050 54.699539 73.430344 95.518116 120.335435 149.944055
2025-05-11 22.350100 35.629502 51.926194 72.642984 97.605776 126.133421 160.647462
2025-05-18 19.370675 33.108293 50.537970 73.227319 101.066274 133.325768 172.795012
2025-05-25 16.449617 30.304821 48.506903 72.774616 103.081967 138.671889 182.678176
2025-06-01 14.254427 28.233480 47.209071 73.060323 105.852213 144.804008 193.401405
2025-06-08 11.961169 25.737138 45.128691 72.163158 107.016527 148.905052 201.641028
2025-06-15 10.655339 24.567929 44.736863 73.366915 110.737201 156.047663 213.475542
2025-06-22 9.540468 23.561330 44.474789 74.668468 114.531149 163.250974 225.373025
2025-06-29 8.001921 21.651544 42.773580 73.918402 115.611939 167.060752 233.134181
2025-07-06 6.338576 19.286605 40.253572 71.951104 115.069808 168.859262 238.495254
2025-07-13 5.960778 19.233346 41.202918 74.805697 120.852582 178.577850 253.578030
2025-07-20 5.386082 18.714682 41.381038 76.538144 125.134904 186.408886 266.353700
2025-07-27 4.445822 17.296494 40.037409 76.020806 126.367407 190.355696 274.322671
2025-08-03 3.585858 15.865813 38.557325 75.217685 127.151206 193.688199 281.501167
2025-08-10 3.055271 15.070529 38.062321 75.814108 129.801683 199.389769 291.623389
2025-08-17 2.449128 13.936154 36.900699 75.351982 130.959048 203.143878 299.296411
2025-08-24 2.019337 13.143593 36.268570 75.643647 133.126221 208.186928 308.582162
2025-08-31 1.525675 11.990353 34.893539 74.727736 133.564833 210.951701 314.977433
2025-09-07 1.303855 11.612632 34.912106 75.956623 137.002236 217.634387 326.338367
2025-09-14 1.116282 11.287849 35.003183 77.285160 140.576359 224.501245 337.946722